Forex

Is the ‘recovery’ back on track?

There has been a lot of double-dip talk in the market, and a lot of it from us. But, we remain open to being very wrong. Quite possibly, if the recovery is back on track, the US dollar will get smoked on yield and growth differentials; a couple of key factors that not too long ago appeared to favor

FX Trading – No buyer of last resort is a deflationary train wreck

I was reading George Soros’ criticisms of Germany this morning. If the euro experiment fails, it will be all Germany’s fault, according to Mr. Soros (yeah, okay, sure). It seems Mr. Soros wants Germany to start raising wages and do all it can to boost domestic spending. The old ideas of thrift a

FX Trading – Stressed Out

We could refer to our once-upon-a-time Currency Currents that criticized the stress tests administered to US banks, but really we wouldn’t be saying much more than: ‘they were a phony, propaganda-laden strategy that aimed to deceive investors of the obvious risks that remained with US banks.’

Key Long-term Themes Still in Play but there are Questions

We put together the chart below for a presentation we made back in January this year; it is a visual representation of the four primary underlying themes we think will drive the long-term dollar bull market. To phrase it another way, global healing and a strong US dollar are mutually reinforcing and

FX Trading – Hodgepodge Friday

If you were worried about the euro, you can stop now. We saw a story on Bloomberg that quoted Paris-based money manager Emeric Challier as saying, “The crisis is over.” Now that the euro has plunged against the dollar, it will be a big boost to exports for Europe and allow them to turn this aili

Kathy Lien Interview

Dear Mrs. Merkel we’d like to say, “It is calculable!”

Man, if she keeps this up, Mr. Sarkozy is in danger of losing his top spot as the Eurozone leader most prone to bouts of hyperbole. BERLIN, May 19 (Reuters) – The euro is in danger, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said in a speech to parliament on Wednesday. “Every one of us here can fe

The surprise is on the downside this time.

A heck of a week for the buck so far, right? Granted we still got a lot of time left before it sticks, but the weekly bar on a chart of the US Dollar Index looks rather impressive: An obvious reason is going to be Greece and Eurozone difficulties driving the euro lower and both directly and indirec

Market Directions: The Sterling Election

Have the improved prospects for a Conservative victory in the upcoming British election and the reduced chance of a hung parliament revived the sterling, or has the recovering British economy provided the boost? A little more than a week ago, the pound came within twenty points of its post crash low

Gold: Time for a little dirt nap?

Real recovery may mean gold is due for a little dirt nap: 1) Other real (physical) asset investments in the real economy (land, plant, equipment, etc.), that appear relatively cheap at the beginning of recovery thanks to the impact of recession, compete with gold as an investment class once again. 2