Futures

The Weekend Commodities Review

Energies Crude oil’s end of the week rebound should be short lived and ultimately seen as a mild bump on the road to fresh near term lows. Target $64.50 in the near term, confirmed by a break below 71.24 on the Oct. contract this week. Heating oil and rbob both appear ready to collapse a sol

The Crude Truth: Oil Prices Unlikely to Rise Substantially in 2010

It sounds like an investors bad dream:  Hope for an improving economy continually stymied by negative economic reports and sovereign debt fears; A seemingly optimistic stock market giving way to reality;  Commodities prices that seem to be stuck in limbo; Everyone waiting for fall elections, eyein

The Weekend Commodities Review

Energies Crude oil offered a strong price correction last week as a rising U.S. dollar combined with concerns over China growth/demand to create a bearish market sentiment. The market is still stuck in a wide range with the top likely in place. I anticipate continued downside in coming weeks and r

The Weekend Commodities Review

Energies Crude oil is showing signs of topping below 83.80 resistance. I believe this market is setting up an ultimate price failure to below $50 before year’s end, but the next week may provide the ultimate indicator. Anticipate a dollar rally pressuring oil prices at these levels, as the d

The Weekend Commodities Review

Energies Choppy oil prices are offering severe congestion ahead of a major price breakout. Right now the commodity markets are in bull mode and a weak dollar is helping the cause. However, oil prices remain under recent highs, indicating that there is hesitance to break the market out on short ter

The Weekend Commodities Review

Energies Crude oil is brushing back up near the highs and I suspect that the time to short is now with stops above the highs. Dollar strength is expected and that will likely pressure oil, along with a lack of a real hurricane threat in the Gulf. Natural gas remains a buy with long term deep out o

The Weekend Commodities Review

General Market Commentary After the release of the 2010 Mid-Year Commodity Review and Forecast Report (http://futurespress.com/mega-forecast3.html), the WCR is finally back from its long hiatus. The key market forecasts – a Japanese Yen bull run and coffee market breakout both continue to off

Gold still Golden for Put Sellers

It’s the commodity with which non-commodity investors are most familiar. It’s probably the most “emotionally” driven commodity where core supply demand factors matter little.  And no matter what price it’s at, somebody always loves it. It’s Gold. And no matter what your investment exper

The Weekend Commodities Review

General Market Commentary The stock market confirmed a bull trend last week after shaking off negative economic news and breaking above the neckline of what will now be a hindsight head and shoulders formation on a daily chart. The overnight rally in the S&P is another confirmation of this bre

The Weekend Commodities Review

Energies It is difficult for the oil spill news to become relevant to energy sector price action because market participants are not completely sure how to assess the impact on prices long term. In reality there is still no end in site to the negative news, but the lack of definitive assessment of